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Daniel D's avatar

Great job on this article! What you said really rings true, that it will be the Left that fumbles us into a kinetic civil war, just as they have nearly stumbled their way into a hot war with Russia over protecting our puppet banana republic in Ukraine. If they were simply corrupt, able to make things work well while skimming 10% off the top "for the big guy," then maybe it could work, but they combine shameless greed and corruption with unimaginable stupidity and incompetence. They're ramming the Titanic straight into an iceberg, yet they ignore cries of distress because they're too busy robbing the 2nd-class cabins.

An example of Leftist hubris and idiocy: during the George Floyd riots, I saw on social media open calls for racial violence against whites. I made some attempts to basically caution them: Hey, if you really think black lives matter, you would not be pushing for a race war when blacks are only 13% of the population; from a pragmatic angle, that's just not a winning strategy, no matter how justified you might think you are in pursuing it. I pointed to Iraq and Lebanon as examples of what happens when you have ethnic or sectarian violence: it escalates quickly and dangerously. I should not have been surprised by the responses (and these were "respectable" people saying this) basically ignoring the concerns I raised and just hand-waving with appeals to justice and the righteousness of their anger and it was the fault of white guys like me anyway, so I just need to do better and get ready to get snuffed out in the coming race war. (Of course, the label "hate speech" somehow never applies to the Left, no matter how much racial violence they call for.) Anyway, it became clear to me that there are a large number of educated elites who are completely naive about real-world violence yet are confidently ignoring the warnings of GWOT veterans who try and tell them, be careful what you wish for. We saw the exact same pattern with the Left's calls for military involvement in Ukraine.

There are a three substack articles I've read recently that really get to the heart of this. (1) This article about how Biden's installation in the White House was a Pyrrhic victory for the elites, from Pstcards from Barsoom by John Carter: https://barsoom.substack.com/p/rust-on-the-iron-pentagon.

(2) This article, also by John Carter about why the US Empire cannot win WWIII: https://barsoom.substack.com/p/why-america-cant-win-world-war-iii

And (3) this article by Chris Bray about how today's elites are incompetent and content to plunder the ruins of what prior generations built, rather than build anything themselves: https://chrisbray.substack.com/p/grey-gardens-nation

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Tell's avatar

People usually forget two things: The importance of individuals working within the system, and the Romanian revolution. The Hungarian pastor László Tőkés in Romania appeared in a TV interview, saying the Romanian people didn't know their human rights. The interview had a strong effect. He was removed by his bishop and therefore forced to move from his job apartment. People gathered around his home to protest the eviction, and more joined in spontaneously. They started chanting anti-communist slogans and the revolution spread to other sites. Romania was also by then isolated within the Soviet bloc, and the system was on its way down. People gathered in the streets. Many were arrested and tortured - the torturers were never punished.

The Gypsies, about 3.5 percent of the population, refused to join the protests, as the communist system favored them for being non-White and as a potential force against the majority, like Black Africans in Qaddafi's Libya, and Blacks wielding chains and bats to terrorize neighborhoods in Cuba at the government's behest. But Gypsies stay away from any risk like that. Later they could instead swarm over Western Europe to get money.

The revolution succeeded some upper officers joined the protesters. For a while you had different military units firing at each other. When the minister of defense suspiciously died, soldiers believed he had been killed by Ceaucescu and many defected to the protesters. The minister's replacement ordered the troops back to their barracks without Ceaucescu's knowledge, and the dictator was done.

As someone said, "A revolution fails if the lower officers in the police and military order their men to fire at the protesters. It succeeds if they don't."

Romania shows that those who work within the system are usually more dangerous to the regime than those outside. The pastor didn't start a guerrilla in the countryside, he had supporters from his long work with the people. Trump as a GOP candidate caused more change in people's mindset than he would have as an independent candidate. In the American Revolution and the Civil War, the dissenters started off within the system they declared independence against. I can mention many examples of leaders who started off leading parties within the confines of the law. This isn't always the case, but more often than the opposite.

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